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Showing posts from 2016

December 5th - December 10th

WEEKLY COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS For the period between December 5 th - December 10 th Previous week:                 We have seen two major events (the OPEC production cuts and the US employment numbers). Despite the excellent unemployment rate and nonfarm numbers, the dollar didn’t rally.  The declared reason for that in the economic news channels is that the average hourly earnings came underestimated numbers because that won't lead to inflation, but I see that as ambiguous since the unemployment had dropped dramatically. Next week:                 Next week is quite complicated week, since we have the UK court hears the government appeal for the judgment issued earlier in late October, concerning the right of the government to trigger the article 50 without the approval of the parliament. So any piece of news may aff...
Weekly comprehensive analysis For the period between November 28 th – December 2 nd 2016 Previous week:           We have seen couple of speeches and no more. Also the market has been volatile with direct upward to the JPY pairs. Next week:           We have two major events the OPEC meeting on November the 30 th and the Non-farm payrolls, in addition; we have Mario Draghi speaking on Wednesday. The next Nonfarm and unemployment rate numbers are especially very important, because these numbers will deicide weather if the Fed will raise the interest rates on December 14 th . So it is obvious that this week is obviously volatile.           In the upcoming week we will see some retracements on the major trends as the EUR, USD and GBP pairs. So be cautious if you are short or medium term trader. My strategy next week: It is bett...

the period between November 20th – 25th, 2016

Weekly comprehensive analysis For the period between November 20 th – 25 th , 2016 Previous week: WELL done, our last trade gained 200pips till now. Previous week we saw how the dollar strengthened due to the Janet Yellen statement before the Joint economic committee. People interpreted Yallen`s statement by the optimistic and a strong signal towards rate hike in the next fed decision, and that is how markets interacts. Also some other people also expected that the hike is imminent due to the raise in USD index VIX.           In our openion it is not that explicit. Yallen have said that the inflation prices raised in September 1-1/4  ……., BUT STILL BELOW THE FOMC`S PERCENT OBJECTIVE!!!!! Also she said "……AND A RETURN OF INFLATION TO THE COMMITTEE`S 2 PERCENT OBJECTIVES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF YEARS" . And the most powerful statement "…INCREASE IN THE TARGET RANGE HAD CONTINUED TO STRENGTEN AND THAT SUCH AN INCREASE COU...
Weekly comprehensive analysis For the period between November 14 th – 18 th 2016 Previous week: WELL DONE, our EUR/GBP short selling has been achieved with profit around 400 pips. Previous week we have seen major events, the most significant event was the US elections, which leaded to the winning of the Republican Party. Electing a president leads to high liquidity in the markets, not accompanied with too much volatility. It is important to notice that the BOE was pushing the currency to low as much as it can before the results, but once the result released it stops gradually the interfering processes gradually. Which pushed our EUR/GBP to its target? Also, we had seen the New Zealand reserve bank cutting the interest rate. The bank justified that by some reasons the most important was the uncertainty and the low interest rates of the other countries that kept the NZD upwards. Next week: Next week is going to have is so crowded. Just after the markets opens we...
Weekly comprehensive analysis October 31 – November 10th 2016 Previous week: It was very obvious fundamentally and technically that the BOE was interfering the markets. BOE exploits the period to the US elections and the lack of the economic events to make some pushes on the sterling by spreading rumors about the tripped economy of the UK and the bad effects of the BREXIT the has been reflected so far and it will (Fundamental interfering). Also, we have seen some obvious technical patterns that prove the direct hedging of the bank in the forex markets which caused the stock market also to be choppy. Next week: We have couple of major events next week, BOJ and US FED, BOE interest rates decisions, US and Canada unemployment and no-farm payrolls. Next week we have the biggest event ever US PREDSEDINTIAL ELECTIONS. A strong punch of events like these should mean a great turmoil in the markets especially when you add BOE hedging as a catalyst to uncertainty of the markets. What w...
Weekly analysis For the period between october24th – 30th, 2016  Previous week: WELL DONE; previous week our trade gained 150 pips and still waiting for more 200pips. Also we had seen a major event, the ECB rate decision. ECB decision itself was not such a surprise but the report accompanying the decision contains some remarkable notes to take into account. First he stated that we should expect lower interest rates to remain at present or lower levels for an extended period of time, secondly the confirm that the monthly asset purchases of €80 billion are intended to run until the end of March 2017. May be the phrase that agitates the markets when he said that 2017 is expected to be NUTRAL, and The risks to the euro area growth outlook remain tilted to the downside and relate mainly to the external environment. Last, while there are no signs yet of a convincing upward trend in underlying inflation. Next week: We have AUD CPI, JPY CPI and unemployment rate, but the m...
WEEKLY GENIUS ANALYSIS OCTOBER16th –OCTOBER21st, 2016 PREVIOUS WEEK:          We didn’t see major events previous week. Previous week has seen week Chinese data as the negative trade balance which will lead to definite depreciation of CNY next period regardless the strong CPI. Also we have seen significant movements for the Euro – more about that little later. In addition to that there was consolidation in the American and Japanese stock markets, and a slit bullish movement I the UK market. Next week:          May be when you here that on the next week ECB will decide the interest rates on Thursday naive get panicked, but the truth is that is the safest day on the month. Mr. Draghi stated in the last announcement that no changes on the plane will occur before March 2017.          Next week we have some other events; however, the sea waves will be quite and the wind will be good for sailing.  NZ dai...
WEEKLY COMPREHENSIVWE ANALYSIS FOR THE PERIOD BETWEEN (JULY 11th 2016 - JULY 15 th , 2016) Previous week: Previous week we had seen couple of important events. The Australian rate decisions, which was unchanged. The US non-farm payrolls, which was better numbers but accompanied with raise in the unemployment number. Also we had seen the drop in the NZ Dairy auction whole milk powder from 2118 to 2062 as forcasted in the NZRB monthly report. Also we should refere to a very important point, the GBP did not fill the gap bwtween mist if the major currencies yet, which consisted a catiiys situation for the next week's trades. Next week: We are waiting for a punch of news which will be affecting our trades directly. We have the China CPI and GDP. We have to know that the Chinese numbers has a direct impact the NZD and the AUD. Next we have the BOC rate decision and AUD unemployment rates .Thursday we have the UK rate decision. We have an absolute believe that it will not r...
Weekly comprehensive analysis for the period between May 15 th – 21 st 2016 previous week: Well done, previous week we have seen addition to our medium term trade (GBP/NZD), however; we have seen some consolidation on the pair because the EUR/GBP and the GBP/JPY have reached the 50% retracement we have seen also, some bad economic news released from china which affected our trade negatively at the beginning of the week, then we got on the right track. Next week: Next week the sea is going to be quiet, nevertheless; we will face the GBP CPI which will surely affect our trade. However we except the effect wont be for long time , even if the actual numbers missed the expectations. On the technical side, it seems that the the the EUR/GBP and GBP/JPY looks to turn over, on the the hand it seems that the EUR/NZD and NZD/JPY are giving a kiwi bullishing indicators, so, What I my favorite trade next week: Due to the technical side we see that their wil bew a risk aversi...
Weekly Comprehensive Analysis For the preiod of April (25-30) 2016 Www.marketstitan.com Previous week: Congratulations, we have acheived about 170 pips in the EURGBP TRADE and about 50 pips with the EUURUSD. As we have said those pairs were consolidated before the ECB decision after the speach it breaks out. Aslo we have seen the GBP NZD breaking the down wedge pattern tbat we have mentiotioned in the previous week. We also ha e seen the GBP AUD pair as a heighly correlated pair has tested 50% retracement and failed to break it with two pin candle and a reversing hummer:- If we added to that the major pair according to the MFI indicator, we will find that EUUR GBP we will find that has ended the rising trend by failing to break the 61.8 percent and retreating as found in the next photo, which gove uus a clear indication towards a rising GBP:- On the other hand, we can find a clear sign of falling AUD through the EUURAUD pair which had reached the bottom of the r...
Weekly comprehensive analysis For the period (April 18 th –april24th 2016) www.marketstitan.com Previous week: WELL Done , I have achieved my previous week EUR/USD target. We have seen some fluctuations a range trading due to the incompatible oil news. Eventually the week had closed consolidating with most of markets due to the Doha meeting held in the 17 th .           Some buddies have asked me about the GBP/AUD and GBP/NZD trades that they are still dropping despite the fact that I have pulled out of this trade. The reason is pretty obvious in the next chart               You can see that the weekly chart for the GBP/NZD has a 78.6% retracement; in addition, a significant down wedge that will break out in the opposite direction sharply not less 4000pips!!! So I have to be cautious. Next week:          ...
Weekly comprehensive analysis April 11 th -16 th 2016 Previous week: Previous week we get to the end of our GBP/AUD  and GBP/NZD long trades with profit of about 3000 pips each. Also we have some important events for the AUSSIE and KIWI. We have heared Yellen`s announcer which Have referred to our previous comment in  December   before  the rate raise, that is would be a mistake; otherwise everything was usual. Next week: We have some important events, like china`s aggregate financing, Yuan loans and CPI. Such events will affect the dollar addetivly if it comes more than the previous. In addition to china`s news, we have the UK CPI and the AUD unemployment rate, which will not affect our new trade for the next week. What is my favourite trade: Since that our MFI indecator that we invented gives us a strong sign to a bearish EURUSD pair, So my next weeks trad is going to be short EURUSD with  target of 1.12000 and SL: 1.1500 GOOD...
Weekly comprehensive analysis February 21-26 th 2016 Previous week Previous week was a quiet week and well ordered. Our previous trades did well. The most stupendous event was the picking up in both US inflation and core inflation. Next week: Next week will be a very good week to continue our trades without the disturbance of the divergence. We don’t have any major event except the GB GDP. My trades next week: -    GBP/AUD short: I am continuing n my way; however I may face some kind of divergence in this week. I have gained 1400 pips and my target now is 1.9850 with SL: 2.070. 2-    EUR/AUD short: I have won 200 pips till now from this trade, and I may face his week some kind of consolidation, because I am at support level. My target is 1.5150, and SL: 1.5500. 3-    EUR/NZD short: still consolidating, and it will continue like that next week, so be patient. My target is 1.6000 with SL: 1700. If you still can not apply o...
Comprehensive weekly analysis For the period between (Feb 15 th – Feb 19 th , 2016) Previous week: Previous week was some how quiet . We have seen Yellen testmonjey befor the congress. , where she didn’t  add new. It was the end of the previous week  trades`  divergences. Next week: We have some influencing numbers next week, that may influence our trades.  GBP GDP . AUD unemployment and USD CPI.  These events could affect the trends chronologically, but will not cause change in the trend. My next week trade: It is a very good time to continue my trades now, after the divergence came to an end after twoo weeks retracemets, lets remember what was it : 1-     GBP/AUD short: I am continuing n my way; however I may face some kind of divergence in this week. I have gained 1400 pips and my target now is 1.9850 with SL: 2.070. 2-     EUR/AUD short: I have won 200 pips till now from this trade, and I may face his week s...
Comprehensive weekly analysis for the period between (February 7 th -February 13 th 2016) Previou s week: Well done , the USD/JPY trade has Achieved about 130 pips (more than all of the majors) after the US employment data which was a little bit confusing. the data was shocking to some begginer users who don’t know how to deaL with such complicated situation, when the unemployement rate cames positive while the  non farm payrolls cames negative (for more details follow our coaching program). Also we have seen some othre major events, as the BOE rate decision. As  we clarefied before Mark Carney has stated that no raise on the medium term even. In addition to that, we have seen also the the NZ unemployment rate which came better than expected and the RBA rate decision with no new. What is more important from our point of view is the riging effect to the chinese data releases on the mjarkets(for more details follow our coaching program). Next week:   ...
Comprehensive weekly analysis For the period between February 1 st -6th, 2016 Previous week:         J CONGRATULATIONS J  GBP/AUD has achieved about 1400 pips from the beginning until now, EUR/AUD achieved about 200 PIPs, and EUR/NZD is seeing some consolidation. Previous week have seen many big events, but the biggest one was the Fed rate decision. As we said previously it is very hard to expect another raise as all the fundamentals are against it, moreover this will lead to unbalance in all markets. Yellen gave us a strong indicator for none raising the interest rate for at least two times by saying “ Inflation is expected to remain low in the near term”, also she added “The Committee is closely monitoring global economic and financial developments” which means that there are other international developments could affect the committee decision as China. Next week:         We have 2 major event...
Comprehensive weekly analysis For the period between January 25 th – 29 th 2016 Previous week:             SUPERB our GBP/AUD has achieved 1000 pips until now and not finished yet. Also the EUR/JPY gives us about 150 pips, while EUR/USD gives the most (300 pips). Previous week was so hot; Mario Draghi announcement was quite explicit and clear. He stated that the current policy need to be amended and the interest rate will not rise sooner, moreover it is possible to see more cuts. The target of the ECB is not changed concerning the inflation percent of 2% yearly, also he stated that the low oil prices will affect the inflation process not on the short term but on the long term. Next week:             Next week is easier than the previous one. There are no major events, despite that we have some important events that effects our trades like he AUD CPI and NZD inte...
Comprehensive weekly analysis For the period between Jan18-22 2016 Previous week: Previous week we have seen some events which didn’t come up with unexpected, BOE didn’t raise interest rates for the reasons mentioned before. In addition to that we have achieved about 250 pips on our GBP/AUD trade WELL DONE! Next week: Next week we have some heavy events. China GDP, Chinese events became a rising important events. Also we have many CPI`s (UK, NZ, US), and the most important the ECB interest rate decision. ECB is likely to raise the rates. It doesn’t sound logic since the previous month it cuts the deposit facility rates 10bps. Meanwhile we begin to see some changes in the tone of the bespoken language as shifting the sights towards the core inflation instead of the inflation in general. We also noticed that the Fed has raised the rates, despite the fact that the inflation is very low, but he raise was for other reasons like the fear of the capital movements offshore. As ...
Comprehensive weekly analysis Jan 11 th – 15 th , 2016 Previous week: I am feeling so happy. We are saying J CONGRATULATIONS J every week. The GBP/USD pair the previous week was the best gainer on the non-farm payrolls release event it drops 80 pips till the end of the day, while EUR/USD begins gaining 80 pips for couple of minutes, then it give up the gains with extra loss of 50 pips. Same thing happened with USD/JPY it begins with gaining for couple of minutes then it gave up its profits plus 50 extra pips L , AUD/USD ends the day with only 30 pips profit.           Also we saw some weird movements to the JPY, what was the reason? The reason factually was the Bank of Japan meeting held in December 18 th , when the bank revealed the new policy for 2016 affective from January 4 th . Also we had seen a rising effect from China`s calendar. NEXT WEEK:           We have a set of impor...