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WEEKLY REPORT Dec, 7 to Dec 11, 2015
Previous week: it was very heavy busy week (Fed, ECB, OPEC), the results was excepted Yellen gave some hints that rates are not willing to raise, Mr. Draghi cuts rates and OPEC will not reduce productions. The EUR/USD lifted up after Yellen’s speech, the AUD pairs was affected for a short period then it returned to its rising way. The IMF adding the RMB to the SDR basket.
What next:
As it became obvious that the ECB, Fed and recently the RBA, agrees to put the prices in specific range in order to make the currency prices pushes the inflation instead of making the inflation pushes the currency prices, inflation no way to pushes higher next months, so what I the central banks trying to do is to make currencies overvalued with will lead to unjustified rising in products prices which will lead to their apparent success in putting the finance on the right track. It is irrational to find the Fed (on contrary to other central banks) is going to raise the interest rates specially that Yallen herself gave signals on non rising the rates before considerable period as she said (the committee participants recognize that the future course of the economy is uncertain), in addition (it is appropriate to be more cautious in the raising our target for the federal funds rate). In fact what will happen as a reaction to the unjustified raise is that the GDP will fall and the CPI will start to give us FALSE SIGNALS. Otherwise I don’t I don’t rule out that they may make a small raise as a result of the pressure made by the congress and the media.
But the most interesting event the previous week was the addition of RMB to the IMF basket, we will discuse the effects resulted from the IMF dission next week.
Weekly trade:
First avoid medium and long term entries for EURUSD and any EUR pair,
Second we are on the track with our previous successful trade long AUD/JPY pair.
MAEKETS-TITAN@FINANCIER.COM

GOOD LUCK,,,

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