Weekly comprehensive analysis
For the period between January 8th
– 13th 2017
Happy New Year J, we apologize for the previous
period cut off. It was deliberately due to the case of uncertainty and low
volume trading by the end of the year.
Previous week:
Previous week was quit week, although it holds the US
unemployment rate. Volumes and volatility were unexpectedly low. We have seen a
significant bullish movement on the EUR USD pair on Thursday resulted by the expectation
of low numbers on Friday.
Despite the bad
employment numbers issued on Friday, the EUR/USD moved bearishly due to 2
reasons. Firstly; Friday the congress convenes certify elections results, which
for sure pushed the USD higher. Secondly; the oil prices tend to retreat this
day.
Other important event occurred week which is the FOMC meeting
minutes. The most highlighted points in that meeting are; the economic
projections of the FED board of members & FED presidents the GDP won't be
more than 2.4 at most, unemployment between 4.6 -4.7 inflation 1.7-1.9 and
interest rates would be 0.9-1.8. The other point is that the report had
referred to the uncertainty many times, [the future path of the federal funds rate is subject to considerable
uncertainty].
Next week:
On the technical side, there is a big uncertainty level.
Also on the fundamental view we have nothing considered important, economic
calendar holds the Swiss unemployment rate. Markets seem to be waiting for
something to trigger it, and increase the volumes.
What will be my next trade?
As I said
before if will be uncertain week, and the forex market waits or something to
pull the trigger. Every pair could give double signals, and I would prefer to
the next week to decide what will be my medium term trade. However; if I would
give advice only for the best trade not the assured
trade, I would refer to our MFI indicator that gives us a good
signal for the NZD/CHF short trade TP: 0.6830 and SL: 0.7300
For more medium term
and daily signals;
Wishing you successful
trading J